The American Housing & Finance Crisis is a far-reaching epidemic affecting Millions upon Millions of Americans. It goes beyond Our borders. Internationally, directly and indirectly, the American Housing Crisis has reached as far as Europe, United Emirates, China, Japan and Many other “Foreign Investor” interests in Countries all over the World. We all know what happened, we have a pretty good idea what it’s going to take to correct things and avoid this from ever occurring again. What we need now is not amnesty or “bail-outs”… but PATIENCE.
It has been estimated by American Core Logic that the average American Homeowner experiencing negative equity won’t see positive equity appreciations until 2015! In depressed markets like Las Vegas, Detroit and Florida, it may take as long as 2020 until homeowners can benefit from the stake-hold they have in their home-ownership rights.
The White House recently made some sweeping changes in the HOME AFFORDABLE MODIFICATION PROGRAM amidst growing criticism from opposing Party Members and the American Tax Payers. The program itself has been funded with $75bln Dollars as a way to help Troubled Borrowers with a Cash Subsidies directly paid to Banks and Servicing Banks. Many of the critics have cited that not enough is being done to reach out to the Borrowers and more proactive steps from the Banks and Servicer are necessary to quell concerns and bolster active participation by the homeowners. In a report from the US Treasury, some 52% of the Homeowners benefiting from the HAMP Program default yet again within 9 months of approval. The issue is not the relief, but the hopelessness of any future equity gains as the program is a band-aid and not a cure.
The cure will come from the Banks willingness (albeit voluntary or mandated) to make principal reductions to give the homeowner a “light at the end of the tunnel”. Let’s face it, most homeowners would just soon walk away from an upside down mortgage and property and seek another one with positive equity and positive equity appreciations. DUH! The good news is Home Affordable Modification Program now provides:
- Monthly Cash Subsidies Paid Directly to the Bank/Service Providers
- Annual Principal Reduction Payments Predicated on “On-Time” Payments by the Borrower (s)
- Policies Requiring Lenders to “Proactively” Screen Their Portfolios for “High Risk” Defaults and Make Available Options for Resolution
- Payment Deferment for Jobless Homeowners for Up To 3 Months
- Automatic “Stay” on Foreclosures for Homeowners Applying for or Participating in a Loan Modification (Becomes Effective June 2010)
- 2nd or Junior Lien Modification Program to Assist Homeowners
Among these sweeping changes, Banks have pledged to review and analyze their respective portfolios and “shave” principal balances that directly benefits individual homeowners with the negative equity challenge.
“Change” takes time, and as more and more Banks & Financial Institutions realize the fiscal sense in reaching out and “preserving” the current payment streams in their portfolios; which creates more money to lend out and remain capitalized. The better off “We” Homeowners will be… soon markets will begin to stabilize & correct and neighborhoods & municipalities will begin to experience an increase in tax base revenues to fund infrastructures. In the end and if we play our cards right, we may see better times for ALL ahead of us…
BUT! Please remember all this is ONLY Possible with Patience, Resolve and a real passion for “Getting Past This Current Situation”. Hang in there America… “This too shall pass”

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April 13, 2010 at 1:59 am
Harvey Carroll, Jr.
For many years I begged, pleaded and fought against a return to war in the Middle East as there was no justifiable evidence to go to Iraq and the money trail really didn’t lead to Afghanistan either.
I knew from my business/real estate degree and my political experience in helping plan and organize the 1st Gulf War that a return to the Gulf would force consumer spending and confidence down and create a major economic down turn. You can see some of the “form/personal letters” I received from Senators and President Bush that towed the go to war line that put America in this “Republican Recession” by avoiding good intelligence and sound economic and finance principles. The Bush Administration focused on huge war appropriations and the selling of debt to the tune of 3.5 trillion to China led by Senator Mitch McConnell.
Then, when the anticipated crash came and it was time to bail out the companies the blame was placed on the American people trying to live the American Dream. They said they had to bail out those companies that were too large to fail, but in reality it was companies that were too well connected to fail. AIG held all the insurance policies for Defense (Army, Navy, etc…). The AIG Shadow Banking system had no way to loose. They could bet on the market going up or down and win either way with a bailout…
The Federal Reserve also bet the same way that AIG did as they expected a “Short Term Conflict” in Iraq like the 1st Gulf War. But, they didn’t have me planning this one and keeping the profiteers out of it. So, obviously it would be a long term war and a bad bet to lower interest rates to sub-prime to keep the “War Time Economy” going.
Realizing that there was a need for a TARP type program I wrote the only folks that I knew that were somewhat still connected and made such suggestions. I provided the logic, spreadsheets on how to “Print and Purchase Mortgage Assets at Par Value” to keep the real estate from devaluing even more the silly Congressional “Mark to Market” program that forced the value of housing to drop about 30% and the panic was causing the values to head even lower… I watched the Treasury Secretary in a hearing being asked why he didn’t make money on the TARP funds being distributed at a lower that Par Value… He had no clue, but I did, because I had suggested the program long before it occurred… The Par Value Purchas via Print and Purchase allowed the Government to accept a lower rate, while cashing the banks out that were loosing values… This in turn kept the FDIC from having to anti up on dozens of bankrupted banks…
Now, the thought of how we get out of the mess… I will have to tell you only when people want to get out of this mess, and perhaps compensate me for working my A… off for years for free…
Thank you,
Harvey Carroll, Jr.